Frank Vatrano
R2026-27 projection
75
GP
14
G
12
A
27
Pts
4
PPP
157
SOG
132
Hits
52
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 13Expected 26Ceiling 40
Goals
Floor 7Expected 14Ceiling 22
Assists
Floor 6Expected 12Ceiling 18
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 9.1% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±4.6 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 60 (injury), ceiling 81 (full health) vs 75 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±3.5 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
NHL seasons
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | PPP | PIM | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 50 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 79 | 1 | 40 | -15 |
| 2024-25 | 81 | 21 | 24 | 45 | 234 | 5 | 80 | -9 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 37 | 23 | 60 | 272 | 20 | 85 | -20 |
| 2022-23 | 81 | 22 | 19 | 41 | 231 | 9 | 66 | -29 |
| 2021-22 | 71 | 18 | 14 | 32 | 161 | 22 | 4 | |
| 2020-21 | 56 | 18 | 8 | 26 | 158 | 26 | 8 | |
| 2019-20 | 69 | 16 | 18 | 34 | 162 | 30 | -8 | |
| 2018-19 | 81 | 24 | 15 | 39 | 208 | 38 | -10 | |
| 2017-18 | 41 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 72 | 34 | 3 | |
| 2016-17 | 44 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 116 | 14 | -3 | |
| 2015-16 | 39 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 99 | 14 | -3 |