2026-27 projection
78
GP
27
G
31
A
58
Pts
24
PPP
203
SOG
57
Hits
28
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 31Expected 58Ceiling 83
Goals
Floor 15Expected 27Ceiling 38
Assists
Floor 16Expected 31Ceiling 45
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 13.4% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±6.2 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 62 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 78 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±8.8 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | Faceoffs | Finishing | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | ES% | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | FOW | FOL | FO% | xG | G−xG | +/- |
| 2025-26 | 56 | 18 | 22 | 40 | 147 | 12.2 | 17 | 19:06 | 3:18 | 31 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 34 | 7 | 18 | 28.0 | 18.5 | -0.5 | -11 |
| 2024-25 | 81 | 35 | 25 | 60 | 244 | 14.3 | 25 | 18:30 | 3:06 | — | — | 63 | 22 | 38 | 15 | 22 | 40.5 | 28.6 | +6.4 | -7 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 29 | 44 | 73 | 225 | 12.9 | 30 | 18:00 | 3:06 | — | — | 67 | 28 | 62 | 10 | 28 | 26.3 | 28.0 | +1.0 | 1 |
| 2022-23 | 69 | 23 | 49 | 72 | 208 | 11.1 | 24 | 17:36 | 3:00 | — | — | 53 | 18 | 52 | 8 | 8 | 50.0 | 23.7 | -0.7 | 2 |
| 2021-22 | 82 | 33 | 52 | 85 | 262 | 12.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | 23 | |
| 2020-21 | 50 | 20 | 20 | 40 | 162 | 12.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | -2 | |
| 2019-20 | 64 | 23 | 31 | 54 | 175 | 13.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | -1 | |
| 2018-19 | 83 | 13 | 26 | 39 | 174 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | -23 | |
| 2017-18 | 80 | 23 | 25 | 48 | 187 | 12.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | 20 | |
| 2016-17 | 54 | 11 | 5 | 16 | 114 | 9.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | |
| 2015-16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0 | |
| 2014-15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | -1 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
