2026-27 projection
78
GP
21
G
28
A
49
Pts
10
PPP
132
SOG
54
Hits
38
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 26Expected 49Ceiling 70
Goals
Floor 11Expected 21Ceiling 30
Assists
Floor 14Expected 28Ceiling 40
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 16% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.4 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 62 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 78 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±7.8 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 18:06 | 2:24 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025-26 | 81 | 33 | 31 | 64 | 152 | 21.7 | 13 | 15:12 | 2:24 | 47 | 52 | 40 | 43 | 10 |
| 2024-25 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26.7 | 1 | 13:54 | 2:00 | — | 16 | 8 | 11 | 6 |
| 2023-24 | 74 | 23 | 21 | 44 | 113 | 20.4 | 8 | 14:12 | 1:36 | — | 55 | 31 | 25 | 11 |
| 2022-23 | 67 | 11 | 16 | 27 | 119 | 9.2 | 2 | 14:12 | 0:54 | — | 68 | 24 | 31 | -8 |
| 2021-22 | 37 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 82 | 11.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | 4 | |
| 2020-21 | 56 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 138 | 10.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 25 | -14 | |
| 2019-20 | 43 | 16 | 22 | 38 | 137 | 11.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 34 | -7 | |
| 2018-19 | 67 | 25 | 23 | 48 | 198 | 12.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 30 | -8 | |
| 2017-18 | 80 | 24 | 24 | 48 | 190 | 12.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 52 | -1 | |
| 2016-17 | 60 | 17 | 19 | 36 | 133 | 12.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 53 | 10 | |
| 2015-16 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 11.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | -6 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
