2026-27 projection
81
GP
11
G
47
A
58
Pts
19
PPP
152
SOG
47
Hits
118
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 29Expected 58Ceiling 82
Goals
Floor 5Expected 11Ceiling 17
Assists
Floor 24Expected 47Ceiling 65
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 7.5% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±4.2 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 65 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 81 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±13.1 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 0.0 | 2 | 24:48 | 2:42 | 66 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -1 |
| 2025-26 | 77 | 14 | 41 | 55 | 146 | 9.6 | 16 | 24:42 | 3:06 | 62 | 36 | 118 | 30 | 6 |
| 2024-25 | 80 | 14 | 48 | 62 | 172 | 8.1 | 22 | 24:24 | 2:54 | — | 49 | 113 | 22 | 17 |
| 2023-24 | 81 | 10 | 59 | 69 | 196 | 5.1 | 19 | 24:12 | 3:18 | — | 90 | 103 | 44 | 34 |
| 2022-23 | 78 | 16 | 60 | 76 | 172 | 9.3 | 28 | 24:12 | 3:42 | — | 89 | 119 | 41 | 2 |
| 2021-22 | 79 | 12 | 25 | 37 | 173 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 66 | -3 | |
| 2020-21 | 56 | 4 | 17 | 21 | 116 | 3.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 25 | -1 | |
| 2019-20 | 65 | 5 | 26 | 31 | 120 | 4.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 24 | 1 | |
| 2018-19 | 59 | 6 | 25 | 31 | 95 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | 9 | |
| 2017-18 | 81 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 102 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 47 | 15 | |
| 2016-17 | 82 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 99 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 38 | 6 | |
| 2015-16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0 | 0 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
