Nathan MacKinnon
C2026-27 projection
79
GP
45
G
82
A
126
Pts
35
PPP
336
SOG
56
Hits
43
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 69Expected 126Ceiling 174
Goals
Floor 27Expected 45Ceiling 58
Assists
Floor 42Expected 82Ceiling 116
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 12.2% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±7.7 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 63 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 79 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±23 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
NHL seasons
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | PPP | PIM | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 80 | 53 | 74 | 127 | 350 | 30 | 39 | 57 |
| 2024-25 | 79 | 32 | 84 | 116 | 320 | 38 | 41 | 25 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 51 | 89 | 140 | 405 | 48 | 42 | 35 |
| 2022-23 | 71 | 42 | 69 | 111 | 366 | 34 | 30 | 29 |
| 2021-22 | 65 | 32 | 56 | 88 | 299 | 42 | 22 | |
| 2020-21 | 48 | 20 | 45 | 65 | 206 | 37 | 22 | |
| 2019-20 | 69 | 35 | 58 | 93 | 318 | 12 | 13 | |
| 2018-19 | 82 | 41 | 58 | 99 | 365 | 34 | 20 | |
| 2017-18 | 74 | 39 | 58 | 97 | 284 | 55 | 11 | |
| 2016-17 | 82 | 16 | 37 | 53 | 251 | 16 | -14 | |
| 2015-16 | 72 | 21 | 31 | 52 | 245 | 20 | -4 | |
| 2014-15 | 64 | 14 | 24 | 38 | 192 | 34 | -7 | |
| 2013-14 | 82 | 24 | 39 | 63 | 241 | 26 | 20 |