Nick Paul
L2026-27 projection
75
GP
15
G
14
A
29
Pts
5
PPP
109
SOG
93
Hits
33
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 15Expected 29Ceiling 43
Goals
Floor 7Expected 15Ceiling 22
Assists
Floor 7Expected 14Ceiling 21
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 13.5% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±4.6 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 60 (injury), ceiling 81 (full health) vs 75 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±3.9 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
NHL seasons
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | PPP | PIM | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 51 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 68 | 3 | 32 | -15 |
| 2024-25 | 76 | 22 | 19 | 41 | 141 | 5 | 30 | 13 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 24 | 22 | 46 | 153 | 14 | 27 | -16 |
| 2022-23 | 80 | 17 | 15 | 32 | 120 | 4 | 33 | 11 |
| 2021-22 | 80 | 16 | 16 | 32 | 166 | 39 | -14 | |
| 2020-21 | 56 | 5 | 15 | 20 | 105 | 19 | 5 | |
| 2019-20 | 56 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 103 | 24 | 0 | |
| 2018-19 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 4 | -10 | |
| 2017-18 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | -4 | |
| 2016-17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -2 | |
| 2015-16 | 24 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 6 | -3 |