Pavel Buchnevich
L2026-27 projection
79
GP
21
G
31
A
52
Pts
15
PPP
138
SOG
35
Hits
36
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 27Expected 52Ceiling 73
Goals
Floor 11Expected 21Ceiling 29
Assists
Floor 16Expected 31Ceiling 44
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 14% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.2 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 63 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 79 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±8.8 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
NHL seasons
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | PPP | PIM | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 81 | 20 | 28 | 48 | 142 | 15 | 26 | -10 |
| 2024-25 | 76 | 20 | 37 | 57 | 145 | 12 | 23 | 10 |
| 2023-24 | 80 | 27 | 36 | 63 | 207 | 18 | 48 | 3 |
| 2022-23 | 63 | 26 | 41 | 67 | 123 | 21 | 36 | 14 |
| 2021-22 | 73 | 30 | 46 | 76 | 199 | 34 | 29 | |
| 2020-21 | 54 | 20 | 28 | 48 | 120 | 42 | 12 | |
| 2019-20 | 68 | 16 | 30 | 46 | 148 | 24 | 2 | |
| 2018-19 | 64 | 21 | 17 | 38 | 119 | 13 | -10 | |
| 2017-18 | 74 | 14 | 29 | 43 | 136 | 20 | -3 | |
| 2016-17 | 41 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 55 | 13 | 6 |