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Matt Grzelcyk

DBUF · age 32 · 2026-27 · drafted 2012 by BOS, round 3, #85 overallCompare with…
77
GP
2
G
17
A
19
Pts
5
PPP
75
SOG
36
Hits
72
Blk
Points
Floor 9Expected 19Ceiling 29
Goals
Floor 0Expected 2Ceiling 4
Assists
Floor 9Expected 17Ceiling 24
What moves the range:
  • Shooting %: expected 2.7% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±1.8 (pure luck).
  • Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
  • Games played: floor assumes 62 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 77 expected.
  • Linemates: assist swing of ±4.7 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
BasicEverything
ScoringIce timePhysical
SeasonGPGAPSOGSH%PPPTOIPP TOIPP%HITBLKPIM+/-
2026-2710000—014:240:000010-1
2025-266901212680.0317:000:5418285432-9
2024-258213940941.11520:362:06—4310116-6
2023-24632911593.4017:360:06—53763713
2022-2375422261023.9017:120:24—51782846
2021-2273420241183.4—————2422
2020-213751520806.3—————2211
2019-2068417211123.6—————3415
2018-196631518903.3—————689
2017-186131215823.7—————2221
2016-17200040.0—————20

Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.

LeagueSeasonGPGAPPIM
NCAA2015-162710132336
USHL2011-1224110116
USHL2010-1136191028
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