Mike Matheson
D2026-27 projection
78
GP
7
G
29
A
36
Pts
6
PPP
121
SOG
58
Hits
151
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 18Expected 36Ceiling 53
Goals
Floor 2Expected 6Ceiling 11
Assists
Floor 15Expected 29Ceiling 42
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 5.2% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±3.1 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 62 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 78 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±8.3 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
NHL seasons
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | PPP | PIM | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 78 | 7 | 30 | 37 | 114 | 1 | 34 | 9 |
| 2024-25 | 80 | 6 | 25 | 31 | 149 | 10 | 51 | -6 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 11 | 51 | 62 | 187 | 28 | 58 | -24 |
| 2022-23 | 48 | 8 | 26 | 34 | 126 | 9 | 33 | 7 |
| 2021-22 | 74 | 11 | 20 | 31 | 140 | 33 | 12 | |
| 2020-21 | 44 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 86 | 28 | 9 | |
| 2019-20 | 59 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 104 | 14 | -1 | |
| 2018-19 | 75 | 8 | 19 | 27 | 129 | 44 | -24 | |
| 2017-18 | 81 | 10 | 17 | 27 | 167 | 61 | -1 | |
| 2016-17 | 81 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 179 | 36 | -5 | |
| 2015-16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 |