2026-27 projection
70
GP
9
G
12
A
21
Pts
4
PPP
81
SOG
83
Hits
42
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 10Expected 21Ceiling 32
Goals
Floor 4Expected 9Ceiling 15
Assists
Floor 6Expected 12Ceiling 17
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 11.6% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±3.7 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 56 (injury), ceiling 76 (full health) vs 70 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±3.3 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 12:24 | 0:42 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 |
| 2025-26 | 60 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 76 | 10.5 | 2 | 13:48 | 1:36 | 31 | 76 | 37 | 28 | -13 |
| 2024-25 | 78 | 11 | 27 | 38 | 94 | 11.7 | 11 | 15:06 | 1:18 | — | 84 | 49 | 38 | 20 |
| 2023-24 | 78 | 11 | 26 | 37 | 95 | 11.6 | 5 | 14:30 | 1:18 | — | 92 | 45 | 37 | 17 |
| 2022-23 | 77 | 8 | 17 | 25 | 108 | 7.4 | 3 | 12:36 | 1:06 | — | 108 | 39 | 35 | 5 |
| 2021-22 | 75 | 16 | 14 | 30 | 91 | 17.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 45 | 2 | |
| 2020-21 | 53 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 87 | 9.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 24 | -5 | |
| 2019-20 | 65 | 17 | 14 | 31 | 98 | 17.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 45 | -5 | |
| 2018-19 | 78 | 11 | 20 | 31 | 119 | 9.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 44 | -7 | |
| 2017-18 | 81 | 22 | 26 | 48 | 155 | 14.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 45 | 6 | |
| 2016-17 | 74 | 10 | 18 | 28 | 114 | 8.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 31 | -4 | |
| 2015-16 | 80 | 14 | 21 | 35 | 106 | 13.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 45 | 17 | |
| 2014-15 | 43 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 46 | 19.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 13 | 1 | |
| 2013-14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | -1 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
