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Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

CEDM · age 33 · 2025-26 · drafted 2011 by EDM, round 1, #1 overallOutCompare with…
77
GP
21
G
38
A
58
Pts
28
PPP
141
SOG
30
Hits
35
Blk
Points
Floor 31Expected 58Ceiling 85
Goals
Floor 11Expected 21Ceiling 30
Assists
Floor 20Expected 38Ceiling 55
What moves the range:
  • Shooting %: expected 14.7% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.4 (pure luck).
  • Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
  • Games played: floor assumes 62 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 77 expected.
  • Linemates: assist swing of ±10.6 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
BasicEverything
ScoringIce timePhysical
SeasonGPGAPSOGSH%PPPTOIPP TOIPP%HITBLKPIM+/-
2025-267220365613315.02919:063:3077253121-9
2024-257820294916412.22019:003:06—2648244
2023-24801849671839.82619:363:18—62333610
2022-2382376710420118.45319:483:54—48263512
2021-22631139501547.1—————163
2020-215216193513511.9—————22-4
2019-206522396117212.8—————331
2018-198228416920813.5—————26-13
2017-186224244815115.9—————2010
2016-17821825432009.0—————29-10
2015-165512223410811.1—————18-9
2014-157624325618912.7—————25-12
2013-148019375617810.7—————26-12

Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.

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