2026-27 projection
77
GP
21
G
38
A
58
Pts
28
PPP
141
SOG
30
Hits
35
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 31Expected 58Ceiling 85
Goals
Floor 11Expected 21Ceiling 30
Assists
Floor 20Expected 38Ceiling 55
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 14.7% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.4 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 62 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 77 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±10.6 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | +/- |
| 2025-26 | 72 | 20 | 36 | 56 | 133 | 15.0 | 29 | 19:06 | 3:30 | 77 | 25 | 31 | 21 | -9 |
| 2024-25 | 78 | 20 | 29 | 49 | 164 | 12.2 | 20 | 19:00 | 3:06 | — | 26 | 48 | 24 | 4 |
| 2023-24 | 80 | 18 | 49 | 67 | 183 | 9.8 | 26 | 19:36 | 3:18 | — | 62 | 33 | 36 | 10 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 37 | 67 | 104 | 201 | 18.4 | 53 | 19:48 | 3:54 | — | 48 | 26 | 35 | 12 |
| 2021-22 | 63 | 11 | 39 | 50 | 154 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | 3 | |
| 2020-21 | 52 | 16 | 19 | 35 | 135 | 11.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 22 | -4 | |
| 2019-20 | 65 | 22 | 39 | 61 | 172 | 12.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 33 | 1 | |
| 2018-19 | 82 | 28 | 41 | 69 | 208 | 13.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 26 | -13 | |
| 2017-18 | 62 | 24 | 24 | 48 | 151 | 15.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 20 | 10 | |
| 2016-17 | 82 | 18 | 25 | 43 | 200 | 9.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 29 | -10 | |
| 2015-16 | 55 | 12 | 22 | 34 | 108 | 11.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | -9 | |
| 2014-15 | 76 | 24 | 32 | 56 | 189 | 12.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 25 | -12 | |
| 2013-14 | 80 | 19 | 37 | 56 | 178 | 10.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 26 | -12 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
