Bryan Rust
R2026-27 projection
70
GP
27
G
34
A
61
Pts
21
PPP
170
SOG
43
Hits
61
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 33Expected 61Ceiling 89
Goals
Floor 15Expected 27Ceiling 39
Assists
Floor 18Expected 34Ceiling 50
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 14.8% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.9 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 56 (injury), ceiling 76 (full health) vs 70 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±9.5 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
NHL seasons
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | PPP | PIM | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 72 | 29 | 36 | 65 | 183 | 24 | 26 | 0 |
| 2024-25 | 71 | 31 | 34 | 65 | 191 | 18 | 18 | -21 |
| 2023-24 | 62 | 28 | 28 | 56 | 196 | 9 | 20 | 10 |
| 2022-23 | 81 | 20 | 26 | 46 | 211 | 11 | 31 | -4 |
| 2021-22 | 60 | 24 | 34 | 58 | 180 | 14 | 7 | |
| 2020-21 | 56 | 22 | 20 | 42 | 154 | 18 | 9 | |
| 2019-20 | 55 | 27 | 29 | 56 | 151 | 30 | 14 | |
| 2018-19 | 72 | 18 | 17 | 35 | 141 | 24 | 10 | |
| 2017-18 | 69 | 13 | 25 | 38 | 123 | 26 | 11 | |
| 2016-17 | 57 | 15 | 13 | 28 | 110 | 8 | 4 | |
| 2015-16 | 41 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 68 | 12 | 1 | |
| 2014-15 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 34 | 4 | -3 |