Tyler Toffoli
C2026-27 projection
74
GP
21
G
26
A
47
Pts
14
PPP
166
SOG
48
Hits
27
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 25Expected 47Ceiling 69
Goals
Floor 12Expected 21Ceiling 31
Assists
Floor 13Expected 26Ceiling 38
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 12.1% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.4 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 59 (injury), ceiling 80 (full health) vs 74 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±7.2 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
NHL seasons
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | PPP | PIM | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 79 | 19 | 30 | 49 | 172 | 15 | 10 | -12 |
| 2024-25 | 78 | 30 | 24 | 54 | 233 | 15 | 14 | -21 |
| 2023-24 | 79 | 33 | 22 | 55 | 229 | 18 | 14 | -6 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 34 | 39 | 73 | 268 | 25 | 28 | 16 |
| 2021-22 | 74 | 20 | 29 | 49 | 195 | 14 | -5 | |
| 2020-21 | 52 | 28 | 16 | 44 | 158 | 24 | 0 | |
| 2019-20 | 68 | 24 | 20 | 44 | 203 | 20 | -1 | |
| 2018-19 | 82 | 13 | 21 | 34 | 226 | 23 | -16 | |
| 2017-18 | 82 | 24 | 23 | 47 | 251 | 16 | 9 | |
| 2016-17 | 63 | 16 | 18 | 34 | 165 | 22 | 6 | |
| 2015-16 | 82 | 31 | 27 | 58 | 213 | 20 | 35 | |
| 2014-15 | 76 | 23 | 26 | 49 | 200 | 37 | 25 | |
| 2013-14 | 62 | 12 | 17 | 29 | 124 | 10 | 21 |