2026-27 projection
77
GP
22
G
27
A
48
Pts
15
PPP
173
SOG
50
Hits
28
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 25Expected 48Ceiling 70
Goals
Floor 12Expected 22Ceiling 31
Assists
Floor 14Expected 26Ceiling 39
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 12.6% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.6 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 62 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 77 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±7.5 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 9:24 | 0:30 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 |
| 2025-26 | 79 | 19 | 30 | 49 | 172 | 11.0 | 15 | 15:00 | 3:00 | 54 | 48 | 31 | 10 | -12 |
| 2024-25 | 78 | 30 | 24 | 54 | 233 | 12.9 | 15 | 16:54 | 3:06 | — | 54 | 32 | 14 | -21 |
| 2023-24 | 79 | 33 | 22 | 55 | 229 | 14.4 | 18 | 17:00 | 3:12 | — | 75 | 11 | 14 | -6 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 34 | 39 | 73 | 268 | 12.7 | 25 | 16:36 | 2:54 | — | 59 | 14 | 28 | 16 |
| 2021-22 | 74 | 20 | 29 | 49 | 195 | 10.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | -5 | |
| 2020-21 | 52 | 28 | 16 | 44 | 158 | 17.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 24 | 0 | |
| 2019-20 | 68 | 24 | 20 | 44 | 203 | 11.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 20 | -1 | |
| 2018-19 | 82 | 13 | 21 | 34 | 226 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 23 | -16 | |
| 2017-18 | 82 | 24 | 23 | 47 | 251 | 9.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | 9 | |
| 2016-17 | 63 | 16 | 18 | 34 | 165 | 9.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 22 | 6 | |
| 2015-16 | 82 | 31 | 27 | 58 | 213 | 14.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 20 | 35 | |
| 2014-15 | 76 | 23 | 26 | 49 | 200 | 11.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 37 | 25 | |
| 2013-14 | 62 | 12 | 17 | 29 | 124 | 9.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 21 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
