2026-27 projection
73
GP
22
G
22
A
44
Pts
10
PPP
139
SOG
73
Hits
21
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 23Expected 44Ceiling 64
Goals
Floor 12Expected 22Ceiling 32
Assists
Floor 11Expected 22Ceiling 33
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 15.7% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.5 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 58 (injury), ceiling 79 (full health) vs 73 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±6.2 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 50.0 | 0 | 14:42 | 1:24 | 43 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025-26 | 75 | 22 | 28 | 50 | 139 | 15.8 | 17 | 17:06 | 3:18 | 57 | 69 | 20 | 34 | -4 |
| 2024-25 | 68 | 22 | 8 | 30 | 152 | 14.5 | 7 | 16:48 | 2:54 | — | 79 | 26 | 24 | -5 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 39 | 36 | 75 | 246 | 15.9 | 29 | 18:48 | 3:30 | — | 99 | 20 | 26 | 19 |
| 2022-23 | 79 | 36 | 18 | 54 | 229 | 15.7 | 17 | 18:24 | 3:24 | — | 128 | 24 | 26 | 21 |
| 2021-22 | 81 | 52 | 25 | 77 | 258 | 20.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 24 | 19 | |
| 2020-21 | 50 | 20 | 10 | 30 | 102 | 19.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 34 | -1 | |
| 2019-20 | 63 | 24 | 21 | 45 | 156 | 15.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 58 | 13 | |
| 2018-19 | 79 | 28 | 24 | 52 | 201 | 13.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 57 | 4 | |
| 2017-18 | 58 | 16 | 21 | 37 | 137 | 11.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 44 | -2 | |
| 2016-17 | 75 | 28 | 25 | 53 | 186 | 15.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 58 | 6 | |
| 2015-16 | 79 | 21 | 22 | 43 | 158 | 13.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 58 | 10 | |
| 2014-15 | 80 | 21 | 25 | 46 | 180 | 11.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 88 | 24 | |
| 2013-14 | 66 | 17 | 20 | 37 | 136 | 12.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 72 | 14 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
