Oliver Ekman-Larsson
D2026-27 projection
73
GP
5
G
25
A
30
Pts
7
PPP
96
SOG
85
Hits
69
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 14Expected 30Ceiling 46
Goals
Floor 2Expected 5Ceiling 9
Assists
Floor 13Expected 25Ceiling 37
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 5.6% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±2.9 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 58 (injury), ceiling 79 (full health) vs 73 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±6.9 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
NHL seasons
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | PPP | PIM | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 78 | 8 | 31 | 39 | 108 | 9 | 70 | -6 |
| 2024-25 | 77 | 4 | 25 | 29 | 118 | 4 | 52 | 14 |
| 2023-24 | 80 | 9 | 23 | 32 | 123 | 11 | 76 | 10 |
| 2022-23 | 54 | 2 | 20 | 22 | 90 | 4 | 22 | -24 |
| 2021-22 | 79 | 5 | 24 | 29 | 168 | 52 | 5 |