Steven Stamkos
C2026-27 projection
74
GP
30
G
24
A
54
Pts
23
PPP
170
SOG
73
Hits
35
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 29Expected 54Ceiling 77
Goals
Floor 17Expected 30Ceiling 41
Assists
Floor 12Expected 24Ceiling 36
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 16.3% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±6.2 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 59 (injury), ceiling 80 (full health) vs 74 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±6.8 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.