2026-27 projection
67
GP
18
G
39
A
56
Pts
21
PPP
158
SOG
19
Hits
22
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 29Expected 56Ceiling 84
Goals
Floor 9Expected 18Ceiling 27
Assists
Floor 20Expected 38Ceiling 58
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 11.3% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.1 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 54 (injury), ceiling 73 (full health) vs 67 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±10.8 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 25.0 | 0 | 20:30 | 3:30 | 67 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -2 |
| 2025-26 | 67 | 16 | 41 | 57 | 169 | 9.5 | 19 | 17:42 | 3:12 | 59 | 21 | 24 | 16 | -1 |
| 2024-25 | 72 | 21 | 38 | 59 | 175 | 12.0 | 29 | 18:00 | 3:00 | — | 19 | 23 | 12 | -16 |
| 2023-24 | 50 | 20 | 27 | 47 | 147 | 13.6 | 15 | 18:24 | 3:06 | — | 14 | 13 | 16 | -5 |
| 2022-23 | 73 | 21 | 36 | 57 | 227 | 9.3 | 22 | 19:18 | 3:24 | — | 13 | 19 | 16 | -22 |
| 2021-22 | 78 | 26 | 66 | 92 | 287 | 9.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | -19 | |
| 2020-21 | 56 | 15 | 51 | 66 | 191 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | -7 | |
| 2019-20 | 70 | 33 | 51 | 84 | 275 | 12.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 40 | 8 | |
| 2018-19 | 81 | 44 | 66 | 110 | 341 | 12.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 22 | 2 | |
| 2017-18 | 82 | 27 | 49 | 76 | 285 | 9.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 32 | -20 | |
| 2016-17 | 82 | 34 | 55 | 89 | 292 | 11.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 32 | 11 | |
| 2015-16 | 82 | 46 | 60 | 106 | 287 | 16.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 30 | 17 | |
| 2014-15 | 61 | 27 | 37 | 64 | 186 | 14.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 10 | |
| 2013-14 | 69 | 29 | 40 | 69 | 227 | 12.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 22 | 7 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
