Kodo HockeyAlex Ovechkin
L2026-27 projection
64
GP
26
G
25
A
51
Pts
16
PPP
181
SOG
106
Hits
14
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 27Expected 51Ceiling 74
Goals
Floor 15Expected 26Ceiling 37
Assists
Floor 13Expected 25Ceiling 37
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 13.5% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.9 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 51 (injury), ceiling 70 (full health) vs 64 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±6.9 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
NHL seasons
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | PPP | PIM | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 82 | 32 | 32 | 64 | 244 | 19 | 26 | -5 |
| 2024-25 | 65 | 44 | 29 | 73 | 237 | 22 | 14 | 15 |
| 2023-24 | 79 | 31 | 34 | 65 | 272 | 28 | 20 | -22 |
| 2022-23 | 73 | 42 | 33 | 75 | 294 | 25 | 48 | -16 |
| 2021-22 | 77 | 50 | 40 | 90 | 334 | 18 | 8 | |
| 2020-21 | 45 | 24 | 18 | 42 | 182 | 12 | -7 | |
| 2019-20 | 68 | 48 | 19 | 67 | 311 | 30 | -12 | |
| 2018-19 | 81 | 51 | 38 | 89 | 338 | 40 | 7 | |
| 2017-18 | 82 | 49 | 38 | 87 | 355 | 32 | 3 | |
| 2016-17 | 82 | 33 | 36 | 69 | 313 | 50 | 6 | |
| 2015-16 | 79 | 50 | 21 | 71 | 398 | 53 | 21 | |
| 2014-15 | 81 | 53 | 28 | 81 | 395 | 58 | 10 | |
| 2013-14 | 78 | 51 | 28 | 79 | 386 | 48 | -35 |