Crease Watch
Who owns each net: every crease rated by how firmly the starter holds it, from his share of the team's starts over the next three weeks, beside how both goalies have actually played. For night-by-night odds, open the Goalie Grid.
PHISplit
50% · 3.5 of 7 starts3.5
WollVladar
Last 10 SV%.896.881
2025-26 SV%.899.906
2025-26 GSAx-4.3+8.8
2026-27 proj GS3944
Close to an even split: 50% of the next three weeks to Woll.
COLSplit
51% · 3.1 of 6 starts2.9
BlackwoodWedgewood
Last 10 SV%.900.945
2025-26 SV%.904.921
2025-26 GSAx+4.9+20.2
2026-27 proj GS4537
Wedgewood has been the better goalie over his last ten starts, .945 to .900.
CARSplit
54% · 3.8 of 7 starts3.2
KochetkovBussi
Last 10 SV%.899.878
2025-26 SV%.899.895
2025-26 GSAx-0.7+2.1
2026-27 proj GS3746
Close to an even split: 54% of the next three weeks to Kochetkov.
EDMSplit
55% · 2.7 of 5 starts2.3
JarryLevi
Last 10 SV%.826.810
2025-26 SV%.882—
2025-26 GSAx-5.5—
2026-27 proj GS4819
Jarry holds the net, but his last ten starts were .826 (-15.0 GSAx).
SEALeads
56% · 3.9 of 7 starts3.1
DaccordGrubauer
Last 10 SV%.882.897
2025-26 SV%.897.909
2025-26 GSAx-3.6+8.4
2026-27 proj GS4339
Grubauer has been the better goalie over his last ten starts, .897 to .882.
CBJLeads
57% · 2.8 of 5 starts2.2
GreavesTalbot
Last 10 SV%.892.880
2025-26 SV%.908.883
2025-26 GSAx+16.4-8.5
2026-27 proj GS4736
Greaves is projected for 47 starts this season.
STLLeads
57% · 3.4 of 6 starts2.6
HoferBinnington
Last 10 SV%.921.897
2025-26 SV%.910.873
2025-26 GSAx+15.5-29.1
2026-27 proj GS4834
Hofer is projected for 48 starts this season.
VGKLeads
57% · 4.6 of 8 starts3.4
HartHill
Last 10 SV%.905.889
2025-26 SV%.891.871
2025-26 GSAx-3.2-14.3
2026-27 proj GS4735
Hart is projected for 47 starts this season.
NJDLeads
57% · 3.4 of 6 starts2.6
AllenDaws
Last 10 SV%.900.882
2025-26 SV%.904.908
2025-26 GSAx+8.9+0.6
2026-27 proj GS4934
Allen is projected for 49 starts this season.
VANLeads
58% · 4.0 of 7 starts3.0
LankinenMeriläinen
Last 10 SV%.865.859
2025-26 SV%.875.860
2025-26 GSAx-19.7-20.1
2026-27 proj GS4536
Lankinen holds the net, but his last ten starts were .865 (-10.0 GSAx).
MTLLeads
59% · 3.5 of 6 starts2.5
DobesMontembeault
Last 10 SV%.911.890
2025-26 SV%.901.872
2025-26 GSAx+12.4-4.1
2026-27 proj GS4835
Dobes is projected for 48 starts this season.
PITLeads
59% · 4.1 of 7 starts2.9
SilovsMurashov
Last 10 SV%.859.895
2025-26 SV%.888.897
2025-26 GSAx-8.1-1.3
2026-27 proj GS5330
Murashov has been the better goalie over his last ten starts, .895 to .859.
OTTLeads
60% · 4.8 of 8 starts3.2
UllmarkErsson
Last 10 SV%.914.893
2025-26 SV%.891.870
2025-26 GSAx-7.9-14.2
2026-27 proj GS4141
Ullmark is projected for 41 starts this season.
NYILeads
60% · 3.6 of 6 starts2.4
SorokinVarlamov
Last 10 SV%.880—
2025-26 SV%.906—
2025-26 GSAx+24.6—
2026-27 proj GS4722
Varlamov has no NHL games last season to compare.
TORLeads
61% · 3.7 of 6 starts2.3
BobrovskyStolarz
Last 10 SV%.883.912
2025-26 SV%.877.893
2025-26 GSAx-22.0-4.2
2026-27 proj GS5033
Stolarz has been the better goalie over his last ten starts, .912 to .883.
DETLeads
61% · 4.3 of 7 starts2.7
GibsonTarasov
Last 10 SV%.881.888
2025-26 SV%.901.895
2025-26 GSAx+11.8-4.0
2026-27 proj GS4340
Gibson is projected for 43 starts this season.
SJSLeads
62% · 3.7 of 6 starts2.3
AskarovNedeljkovic
Last 10 SV%.865.877
2025-26 SV%.884.896
2025-26 GSAx-20.6-2.2
2026-27 proj GS4934
Nedeljkovic has been the better goalie over his last ten starts, .877 to .865.
DALLeads
62% · 3.7 of 6 starts2.3
OettingerDeSmith
Last 10 SV%.880.892
2025-26 SV%.899.907
2025-26 GSAx+3.9+7.1
2026-27 proj GS4636
DeSmith has been the better goalie over his last ten starts, .892 to .880.
MINLeads
63% · 4.4 of 7 starts2.6
WallstedtPickard
Last 10 SV%.932.883
2025-26 SV%.916.871
2025-26 GSAx+11.2-4.5
2026-27 proj GS5330
Wallstedt is projected for 53 starts this season.
BOSLeads
64% · 3.8 of 6 starts2.2
SwaymanDiPietro
Last 10 SV%.913.897
2025-26 SV%.9081.000
2025-26 GSAx+24.4+0.2
2026-27 proj GS4637
Swayman is projected for 46 starts this season.
FLALeads
64% · 4.5 of 7 starts2.5
MarkstromSchmid
Last 10 SV%.875.878
2025-26 SV%.883.893
2025-26 GSAx-13.8-7.5
2026-27 proj GS4241
Markstrom holds the net, but his last ten starts were .875 (-2.4 GSAx).
ANALocked
66% · 4.0 of 6 starts2.0
DostalHusso
Last 10 SV%.875.884
2025-26 SV%.888.884
2025-26 GSAx-2.2-3.7
2026-27 proj GS4339
Dostal holds the net, but his last ten starts were .875 (-3.6 GSAx).
LAKLocked
67% · 2.7 of 4 starts1.3
KuemperForsberg
Last 10 SV%.847.909
2025-26 SV%.891.910
2025-26 GSAx-7.7+4.6
2026-27 proj GS4340
Forsberg has been the better goalie over his last ten starts, .909 to .847.
UTALocked
69% · 4.8 of 7 starts2.2
VejmelkaCossa
Last 10 SV%.886.944
2025-26 SV%.897—
2025-26 GSAx+6.2—
2026-27 proj GS4834
Cossa has been the better goalie over his last ten starts, .944 to .886.
WSHLocked
69% · 4.2 of 6 starts1.8
ThompsonLindgren
Last 10 SV%.903.875
2025-26 SV%.912.879
2025-26 GSAx+32.9-6.2
2026-27 proj GS4438
Thompson is projected for 44 starts this season.
NYRLocked
70% · 4.9 of 7 starts2.1
ShesterkinGarand
Last 10 SV%.916.958
2025-26 SV%.912.948
2025-26 GSAx+17.9+5.2
2026-27 proj GS593
Garand has been the better goalie over his last ten starts, .958 to .916.
BUFLocked
73% · 5.1 of 7 starts1.9
LuukkonenEllis
Last 10 SV%.892.902
2025-26 SV%.910.903
2025-26 GSAx+10.7-0.6
2026-27 proj GS3917
Ellis has been the better goalie over his last ten starts, .902 to .892.
WPGLocked
73% · 5.1 of 7 starts1.9
SkinnerStevenson
Last 10 SV%.873.921
2025-26 SV%.888.921
2025-26 GSAx+4.8+2.8
2026-27 proj GS343
Stevenson has been the better goalie over his last ten starts, .921 to .873.
CGYLocked
74% · 4.4 of 6 starts1.6
WolfCooley
Last 10 SV%.895.888
2025-26 SV%.899.909
2025-26 GSAx-1.0+14.6
2026-27 proj GS4340
Wolf is projected for 43 starts this season.
CHILocked
77% · 4.6 of 6 starts1.4
KnightSoderblom
Last 10 SV%.866.882
2025-26 SV%.902.880
2025-26 GSAx+10.4-10.0
2026-27 proj GS4340
Soderblom has been the better goalie over his last ten starts, .882 to .866.
TBLLocked
79% · 4.8 of 6 starts1.2
VasilevskiyHildeby
Last 10 SV%.909.900
2025-26 SV%.912.914
2025-26 GSAx+21.1+8.9
2026-27 proj GS4834
Vasilevskiy is projected for 48 starts this season.
NSHLocked
81% · 4.9 of 6 starts1.1
SarosMurray
Last 10 SV%.899—
2025-26 SV%.894—
2025-26 GSAx-5.8—
2026-27 proj GS49—
Murray has no NHL games last season to compare.
Share is the starter's expected starts over the team's games from today through the Sunday two weeks out, from the Kodo start model with confirmed starters at 100%. Last 10 is each goalie's last ten NHL starts, reaching back into 2025-26 until this season has ten.
Kodo Hockey