2026-27 Projections

Full-category forecasts by projected wins. Method: four seasons of rates (2022-23 → 2025-26), recency-weighted (6/3/1.5/1 × games played) → regressed to position baseline by sample size, age-adjusted, goals blended with expected goals, 84-game season. Backtest-validated.

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#GoalieTeamGSAgeWLSHOSV%GAASV
1Logan Thompson WSHWSH5529.60.610.280.060.9092.591392
2Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL5132.20.640.270.050.9112.411231
3Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA5530.40.600.340.030.9002.741329
4Jake Oettinger DALDAL5627.80.580.320.060.9042.621338
5Brandon Bussi CARCAR5528.30.550.310.050.9022.371175
6Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS5427.90.540.380.050.9052.811412
7Lukas Dostal ANAANA5826.30.500.400.010.8973.091531
8Jacob Markstrom FLAFLA5636.70.510.390.040.8952.81302
9Mackenzie Blackwood COLCOL4929.80.580.320.080.9052.681230
10Sergei Bobrovsky TORTOR55380.510.430.080.8942.761244
11Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK5336.40.510.320.070.9012.591219
12John Gibson DETDET5533.20.490.400.050.9032.691343
13Juuse Saros NSHNSH5731.50.460.420.020.8992.991470
14Adin Hill VGKVGK5330.40.500.410.050.8962.551147
15Spencer Knight CHICHI5525.50.480.390.050.9032.851428
16Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR5430.80.480.410.050.9092.661391
17Jake Allen NJDNJD5036.20.520.380.050.9042.871314
18Arturs Silovs PITPIT4625.50.550.350.050.8982.831110
19Ilya Sorokin NYINYI4931.20.510.400.110.9072.761279
20Joey Daccord SEASEA5330.10.470.400.040.9032.861376
21Jet Greaves CBJCBJ4925.50.510.360.050.9072.781306
22Filip Gustavsson MINMIN4728.30.520.370.080.9072.731221
23Tristan Jarry EDMEDM5031.40.490.390.070.8953.081276
24Linus Ullmark OTTOTT4433.20.550.300.070.9012.661036
25Jakub Dobes MTLMTL4125.30.570.310.010.9042.81054
26Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3534.10.650.200.090.9122.37833
27Dan Vladar PHIPHI4329.10.530.340.010.9042.581010
28Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF4327.60.520.390.040.9032.741073
29Connor Hellebuyck WPGWPG4933.40.450.440.040.9062.661220
30Dustin Wolf CGYCGY5525.50.390.530.040.9032.851423
31Jordan Binnington STLSTL5033.20.430.470.040.8923.021211
32Alex Nedeljkovic SJSSJS4030.70.490.400.010.9003.181107
33David Rittich NJDNJD3434.10.560.300.050.9002.68790
34Joel Hofer STLSTL3426.20.520.330.110.9072.75890
35Elvis Merzlikins CBJCBJ3532.50.490.410.030.8943.19913
36Anton Forsberg LAKLAK3133.80.540.420.100.9062.91842
37Carter Hart VGKVGK3128.10.540.340.010.9002.61712
38Charlie Lindgren WSHWSH2932.80.540.330.050.8963.08748
39Frederik Andersen EDMEDM34370.460.420.020.8932.68749
40Kevin Lankinen VANVAN4531.40.330.560.020.8933.261182
41Stuart Skinner WPGWPG3527.90.430.440.040.8962.78819
42Pyotr Kochetkov CARCAR2927.30.510.410.080.9032.51657
43Joseph Woll PHIPHI3028.20.490.430.040.9033.11852
44Alex Lyon BUFBUF2833.80.520.370.070.9052.82731
45Akira Schmid FLAFLA2826.40.510.330.060.9012.82699
46Sebastian Cossa UTAUTA2923.90.490.320.030.9052.86774
47Philipp Grubauer SEASEA3134.90.450.440.010.9022.94820
48Joonas Korpisalo NYRNYR3032.40.470.390.050.8983.15816
49Jiri Patera BOSBOS300.470.350.030.9042.91800
50Samuel Montembeault MTLMTL2929.90.480.410.030.8953.08742
51Casey DeSmith DALDAL2835.10.490.390.040.9062.78726
52Samuel Ersson OTTOTT2826.90.490.400.020.8892.93641
53Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2932.70.460.370.040.9052.79756
54Daniil Tarasov DETDET2927.50.450.450.010.8993.11783
55Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS2824.30.450.410.000.8973.04721
56Arvid Soderblom CHICHI2927.10.430.470.030.8943.54840
57Justus Annunen NSHNSH2726.60.460.460.030.9033735
58Ville Husso ANAANA2631.60.470.410.010.8953.08670
59Jesper Wallstedt MINMIN2423.90.480.360.120.9082.91669
60Jonas Johansson TBLTBL22310.510.340.020.8973.17586
61Devin Cooley CGYCGY2929.40.360.430.000.9063.11850
62Thatcher Demko VANVAN2630.80.400.470.050.9022.68622
63Sergei Murashov PITPIT1922.50.520.340.030.9052.86507
64Joel Blomqvist PITPIT190.510.350.040.9022.91506
65Vitek Vanecek NYINYI2330.70.380.500.040.8943.03577
66Eric Comrie SJSSJS1631.20.480.450.030.9002.76395
67Calvin Pickard MINMIN1434.50.490.420.010.8973.15371
68Jacob Fowler MTLMTL1421.90.480.390.060.9052.56338
69Leevi Meriläinen OTTOTT1324.10.460.430.050.8972.6291
70Colten Ellis BUFBUF12260.470.370.070.9053.16349
71Semyon Varlamov NYINYI1238.40.440.340.060.9052.82315
72Dennis Hildeby TBLTBL1125.10.450.350.060.9063.54364
73Nikita Tolopilo VANVAN1326.50.360.500.000.9003.23374
74Aleksei Kolosov PHIPHI1024.70.420.500.000.8983.08261
75 000
76Marcus Hogberg 000
77 000
78 000
79 000
80 000
81Ivan Fedotov 000