Adam Fantilli

C · 22 years old · NCAA 22-23

Drafted 2023 · round 1, 3 overall, CBJ

He does not play in the NHL yet, so this page carries what he has actually done rather than what we project. No forecast, no category value and no draft ranking: we model NHL seasons, and putting a number on a NCAA season we do not model would look like analysis and be a guess.

This season · 26-27

NHL

League

0.50

P/GP

0.50

NHL-equiv. P/GP

21.9

Age

Trajectory · NHL-equivalent points per game

Each season's points per game times its league's translation factor (for example SHL 0.59, Liiga 0.54, AHL 0.44, Allsvenskan 0.38, CHL 0.28, J20 0.18): what a league's scoring has historically been worth in the NHL. A scoring translation, not a rating. A short current season is drawn lighter.

Players with a similar profile

Drafted players from 2005 to 2019 (3,192 of them, including the ones who never made it) whose season at his age looked most like his 25-26: NHL, 82 GP, 0.72 NHL-equivalent at 20.9, after 0.66 the year before. Also matched on draft slot, height, playing against adults and centre or wing. Then their NHL careers.

Player	Drafted	Ht	At his age	GP	P	NHLe	NHL GP	NHL P	P/GP	Best NHL season
Pierre-Luc Dubois LW	#3, 2016	6'2"	19-20 NHL	70	49	0.70	627	427	0.68	66 P in 82 GP, 24-25
Brady Tkachuk LW	#4, 2018	6'3"	20-21 NHL	56	36	0.64	574	463	0.81	83 P in 82 GP, 22-23
Sean Monahan C	#6, 2013	6'2"	15-16 NHL	81	63	0.78	897	632	0.70	82 P in 78 GP, 18-19
Tyler Seguin C	#2, 2010	6'1"	12-13 NHL + Swiss NL	77	72	0.70	1016	826	0.81	84 P in 80 GP, 13-14
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C	#1, 2011	6'0"	14-15 NHL	76	56	0.74	1031	804	0.78	104 P in 82 GP, 22-23

5 of 5 played 200 or more NHL games. How players like this turned out, not a forecast for him.

Season by season

Season	League	GP	G	A	P	P/GP	PIM
22-23	NCAA	36	30	35	65	1.81	67
21-22	USHL	54	37	37	74	1.37	93
20-21	USHL	49	18	18	36	0.73	22

No games recorded since we started tracking him. The log is built by comparing his season totals from one morning to the next, so it begins the first time they move.