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Noah Ostlund

Noah Ostlund

CBUF · age 22 · 2024-25 · drafted 2022 by BUF, round 1, #16 overallCompare with…
70
GP
12
G
21
A
33
Pts
8
PPP
86
SOG
11
Hits
35
Blk
Points
Floor 17Expected 33Ceiling 50
Goals
Floor 6Expected 12Ceiling 19
Assists
Floor 11Expected 21Ceiling 32
What moves the range:
  • Shooting %: expected 13.8% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±4.1 (pure luck).
  • Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
  • Games played: floor assumes 56 (injury), ceiling 76 (full health) vs 70 expected.
  • Linemates: assist swing of ±6 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
BasicEverything
ScoringIce timePhysicalFaceoffsFinishing
SeasonGPGAPSOGSH%PPPTOIPP TOIES%PP%HITBLKPIMFOWFOLFO%xGG−xG+/-
2026-27202250.0017:002:00293400091340.90.7-0.71
2025-26601116276018.3614:181:242527530148618731.57.3+3.711
2024-25800040.0010:300:42——13281436.40.5-0.5-6

Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2024-25. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.

LeagueSeasonGPGAPPIM
AHL2025-26737102
AHL2024-254519173614
AHL2023-2420112
SHL2023-24381211234
ALLSVENSKAN2022-23378182612
J202021-2232933426
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