Fraser Minten
C2026-27 projection
72
GP
0.23
G
0.25
A
0.48
Pts
0.04
PPP
1.60
SOG
1.77
Hits
0.59
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 18Expected 34Ceiling 51
Goals
Floor 8Expected 16Ceiling 24
Assists
Floor 9Expected 18Ceiling 27
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 13.7% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±4.7 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 58 (injury), ceiling 78 (full health) vs 72 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±5.1 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
NHL seasons
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | PPP | PIM | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 82 | 17 | 18 | 35 | 116 | 3 | 20 | 21 |
| 2024-25 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 1 | 2 | -5 |
| 2023-24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Other leagues
| League | Season | GP | G | A | P | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AHL | 2024-25 | 63 | 15 | 18 | 33 | 20 |
| WHL | 2023-24 | 50 | 25 | 33 | 58 | 29 |
| WHL | 2022-23 | 57 | 31 | 36 | 67 | 55 |
| WHL | 2021-22 | 67 | 20 | 35 | 55 | 57 |