Chaz Lucius

C · 23.4 years old · AHL 24-25

Drafted 2021 · round 1, 18 overall, WPG

He does not play in the NHL yet, so this page carries what he has actually done rather than what we project. No forecast, no category value and no draft ranking: we model NHL seasons, and putting a number on a AHL season we do not model would look like analysis and be a guess.

This season · 24-25

AHL

League

0.36

P/GP

0.16

NHL-equiv. P/GP

21.4

Age

Trajectory · NHL-equivalent points per game

Each season's points per game times its league's translation factor (for example SHL 0.59, Liiga 0.54, AHL 0.44, Allsvenskan 0.38, CHL 0.28, J20 0.18): what a league's scoring has historically been worth in the NHL. A scoring translation, not a rating. A short current season is drawn lighter.

Players with a similar profile

Drafted players from 2005 to 2019 (3,192 of them, including the ones who never made it) whose season at his age looked most like his 24-25: AHL, 25 GP, 0.16 NHL-equivalent at 21.4, after 0.34 the year before. Also matched on draft slot, height, playing against adults and centre or wing. Then their NHL careers.

Player	Drafted	Ht	At his age	GP	P	NHLe	NHL GP	NHL P	P/GP	Best NHL season
Chris Kreider C	#19, 2009	6'3"	12-13 NHL + AHL	71	26	0.18	959	632	0.66	77 P in 81 GP, 21-22
Simon Holmstrom RW	#23, 2019	6'0"	22-23 NHL + AHL	66	14	0.17	280	120	0.43	45 P in 75 GP, 24-25
Louis Leblanc C	#18, 2009	6'0"	12-13 AHL	62	18	0.13	50	10	0.20	10 P in 42 GP, 11-12
Riley Nash C	#21, 2007	6'1"	10-11 AHL	79	32	0.18	628	176	0.28	41 P in 76 GP, 17-18
German Rubtsov C	#22, 2016	6'0"	19-20 NHL + AHL	46	13	0.12	4	0	0.00	0 P in 4 GP, 19-20

3 of 5 played 200 or more NHL games. How players like this turned out, not a forecast for him.

Season by season

Season	League	GP	G	A	P	P/GP	PIM
24-25	AHL	25	3	6	9	0.36	6
23-24	AHL	17	2	11	13	0.76	6
21-22	NCAA	24	9	10	19	0.79	23
19-20	USHL	32	8	14	22	0.69	6

No games recorded since we started tracking him. The log is built by comparing his season totals from one morning to the next, so it begins the first time they move.