Matt Coronato

RCGY · age 23 · 2026-27 · drafted 2021 by CGY, round 1, #13 overallCompare with…

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2026-27 projection

Pts

PPP

189

SOG

Hits

Blk

2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling

Points

Floor 26Expected 49Ceiling 71

Goals

Floor 12Expected 22Ceiling 32

Assists

Floor 14Expected 27Ceiling 39

What moves the range:

Shooting %: expected 11.8% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.7 (pure luck).
Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
Games played: floor assumes 62 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 77 expected.
Linemates: assist swing of ±7.6 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.

NHL seasons

Basic Everything

		Scoring						Ice time				Physical			Faceoffs			Finishing
Season	GP	G	A	P	SOG	SH%	PPP	TOI	PP TOI	ES%	PP%	HIT	BLK	PIM	FOW	FOL	FO%	xG	G−xG	+/-
2026-27	2	1	0	1	2	50.0	1	15:12	1:24	28	55	0	1	0	8	5	61.5	0.3	+0.7	-6
2025-26	80	18	27	45	197	9.1	15	16:42	2:48	27	57	23	23	32	70	106	39.8	22.7	-4.7	-29
2024-25	77	24	23	47	180	13.3	17	17:36	2:30	—	—	36	37	25	68	91	42.8	22.6	+1.4	6
2023-24	34	3	6	9	58	5.2	1	12:36	1:36	—	—	7	7	4	5	14	26.3	6.2	-3.2	-15
2022-23	1	0	0	0	4	0.0	0	14:36	0:00	—	—	1	0	2	—	—	—	0.5	-0.5	1

Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.

Other leagues

League	Season	GP	G	A	P	PIM
AHL	2024-25	2	2	0	2	2
AHL	2023-24	41	15	27	42	19
NCAA	2022-23	34	20	16	36	14
NCAA	2021-22	34	18	18	36	14
USHL	2020-21	51	48	37	85	57
USHL	2019-20	45	18	22	40	69