2026-27 projection
81
GP
23
G
44
A
67
Pts
19
PPP
178
SOG
68
Hits
53
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 35Expected 67Ceiling 92
Goals
Floor 13Expected 23Ceiling 31
Assists
Floor 23Expected 44Ceiling 61
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 13% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.7 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 65 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 81 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±12.4 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | Faceoffs | Finishing | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | ES% | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | FOW | FOL | FO% | xG | G−xG | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 16:54 | 4:30 | 27 | 53 | 1 | 0 | 2 | — | — | — | 1.6 | -1.6 | 0 |
| 2025-26 | 78 | 15 | 38 | 53 | 176 | 8.5 | 16 | 18:30 | 2:54 | 30 | 53 | 72 | 51 | 32 | 11 | 20 | 35.5 | 22.9 | -7.9 | -31 |
| 2024-25 | 77 | 17 | 41 | 58 | 151 | 11.3 | 16 | 19:36 | 2:42 | — | — | 54 | 46 | 29 | 11 | 25 | 30.6 | 21.3 | -4.3 | -7 |
| 2023-24 | 80 | 16 | 29 | 45 | 128 | 12.5 | 16 | 18:42 | 2:42 | — | — | 39 | 72 | 30 | 72 | 158 | 31.3 | 18.3 | -2.3 | -45 |
| 2022-23 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 11.1 | 1 | 19:48 | 3:36 | — | — | 7 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33.3 | 2.3 | -0.3 | -5 |
| 2021-22 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | -3 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
Other leagues
| League | Season | GP | G | A | P | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AHL | 2022-23 | 54 | 17 | 24 | 41 | 43 |
| SHL | 2021-22 | 29 | 1 | 13 | 14 | 4 |
| SHL | 2020-21 | 40 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 2 |
| SHL | 2019-20 | 20 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
