2026-27 projection
76
GP
20
G
26
A
46
Pts
11
PPP
149
SOG
60
Hits
37
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 24Expected 46Ceiling 68
Goals
Floor 10Expected 20Ceiling 29
Assists
Floor 14Expected 26Ceiling 39
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 13.1% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.3 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 61 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 76 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±7.4 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | Faceoffs | Finishing | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | ES% | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | FOW | FOL | FO% | xG | G−xG | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.0 | 1 | 17:18 | 3:18 | 27 | 66 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | 1.9 | -0.8 | -1 |
| 2025-26 | 68 | 12 | 20 | 32 | 136 | 8.8 | 6 | 15:36 | 2:18 | 26 | 47 | 54 | 33 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 40.0 | 18.8 | -6.8 | -9 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 18 | 32 | 50 | 143 | 12.6 | 15 | 15:12 | 1:42 | — | — | 71 | 45 | 20 | 21 | 46 | 31.3 | 21.0 | -3.0 | 14 |
| 2023-24 | 71 | 19 | 19 | 38 | 142 | 13.4 | 11 | 13:36 | 2:12 | — | — | 26 | 23 | 12 | 38 | 63 | 37.6 | 15.3 | +3.7 | 13 |
| 2022-23 | 51 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 90 | 8.9 | 5 | 15:00 | 1:42 | — | — | 35 | 22 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 27.3 | 9.2 | -1.1 | 10 |
| 2021-22 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 9.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
Other leagues
| League | Season | GP | G | A | P | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AHL | 2021-22 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 2 |
