2026-27 projection
75
GP
7
G
20
A
27
Pts
9
PPP
93
SOG
19
Hits
96
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 13Expected 27Ceiling 41
Goals
Floor 2Expected 6Ceiling 11
Assists
Floor 11Expected 20Ceiling 30
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 7% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±3.2 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 60 (injury), ceiling 81 (full health) vs 75 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±5.7 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | Faceoffs | Finishing | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | ES% | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | FOW | FOL | FO% | xG | G−xG | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 21:24 | 3:24 | 36 | 58 | 2 | 8 | 2 | — | — | — | 0.0 | -0.0 | -3 |
| 2025-26 | 78 | 8 | 24 | 32 | 101 | 7.9 | 9 | 21:36 | 2:24 | 37 | 46 | 16 | 94 | 33 | — | — | — | 6.9 | +1.1 | -3 |
| 2024-25 | 70 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 63 | 11.1 | 7 | 19:54 | 2:12 | — | — | 18 | 102 | 22 | — | — | — | 4.3 | +2.8 | -32 |
| 2023-24 | 34 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 55 | 5.5 | 2 | 19:36 | 2:24 | — | — | 26 | 43 | 8 | — | — | — | 2.6 | +0.4 | -20 |
| 2022-23 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0.0 | 0 | 17:36 | 0:36 | — | — | 7 | 6 | 2 | — | — | — | 0.4 | -0.4 | -3 |
| 2021-22 | 81 | 4 | 28 | 32 | 137 | 2.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | -26 | |
| 2020-21 | 24 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 10.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | -12 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
