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Alexander Holtz

F · 24.7 years old · AHL 26-27

Drafted 2020 · round 1, 7 overall, NJD

He does not play in the NHL yet, so this page carries what he has actually done rather than what we project. No forecast, no category value and no draft ranking: we model NHL seasons, and putting a number on a AHL season we do not model would look like analysis and be a guess.
AHL
League
1
GP
2
G
0
A
2
P
2.00
P/GP
0.88
NHL-equiv. P/GP
24.6
Age
0.000.511.010.2719-20SHLage 17.60.2720-21SHLage 18.60.4021-22AHL + NHLage 19.60.2722-23AHL + NHLage 20.60.3423-24NHLage 21.60.2624-25AHL + NHLage 22.60.3225-26AHL + NHLage 23.60.8826-27AHLage 24.6 · so far

Each season's points per game times its league's translation factor (for example SHL 0.59, Liiga 0.54, AHL 0.44, Allsvenskan 0.38, CHL 0.28, J20 0.18): what a league's scoring has historically been worth in the NHL. A scoring translation, not a rating. A short current season is drawn lighter.

Drafted players from 2005 to 2019 (3,192 of them, including the ones who never made it) whose season at his age looked most like his 25-26: AHL + NHL, 41 GP, 0.32 NHL-equivalent at 23.6, after 0.26 the year before. Also matched on draft slot, height, playing against adults and centre or wing. Then their NHL careers.

PlayerDraftedHtAt his ageGPPNHLeNHL GPNHL PP/GPBest NHL season
Filip Zadina RW#6, 20186'0"23-24 NHL72230.32262910.3524 P in 74 GP, 21-22
Jack Skille RW#7, 20056'1"10-11 NHL62190.31368840.2317 P in 49 GP, 10-11
Alex Nylander LW#8, 20166'0"21-22 AHL67420.28126490.3926 P in 65 GP, 19-20
Scott Glennie RW#8, 20096'1"14-15 AHL69390.25100.000 P in 1 GP, 11-12
Magnus Paajarvi LW#10, 20096'3"14-15 NHL + AHL46300.304671240.2734 P in 80 GP, 10-11

3 of 5 played 200 or more NHL games. How players like this turned out, not a forecast for him.

SeasonLeagueGPGAPP/GPPIM
26-27AHL120222
25-26AHL132790.692
24-25AHL1676130.812
22-23AHL1465110.794
21-22AHL522625510.9810
20-21SHL40711180.454
19-20SHL3597160.4612
DateOppGAPPIMSOG+/-
2026-10-03vsBAK202260
2026-04-08@CV00000-1
2026-04-04vsTUC00000-1
2026-04-03vsTUC000010
2026-03-28@MIL00000+1
2026-03-27@MIL00002-1
2026-03-21vsTEX101020
2026-03-19@CGY12327+1
2026-03-17@CGY01104-1
2026-03-15@ABB00000+1
2026-03-14@ABB000000
2026-03-11@TUC03301+1
2026-03-10@TUC00001+1
2026-03-08vsONT011030
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