2026-27 projection
83
GP
0.29
G
0.27
A
0.56
Pts
0.10
PPP
1.90
SOG
0.43
Hits
0.61
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 25Expected 46Ceiling 62
Goals
Floor 13Expected 24Ceiling 31
Assists
Floor 12Expected 22Ceiling 30
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 15.2% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.8 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 66 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 83 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±6.3 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.0 | 0 | 15:36 | 0:48 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 |
| 2025-26 | 82 | 20 | 22 | 42 | 158 | 12.7 | 7 | 18:30 | 1:42 | 38 | 33 | 47 | 33 | -2 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 19 | 17 | 36 | 141 | 13.5 | 8 | 17:54 | 1:36 | — | 41 | 60 | 16 | 4 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 20 | 13 | 33 | 134 | 14.9 | 5 | 17:12 | 1:24 | — | 30 | 43 | 29 | -26 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 27 | 29 | 56 | 161 | 16.8 | 10 | 16:36 | 1:18 | — | 36 | 63 | 14 | 22 |
| 2021-22 | 82 | 17 | 25 | 42 | 154 | 11.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 28 | -25 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
