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Dawson Mercer

Dawson Mercer

CNJD · age 24 · 2022-23 · drafted 2020 by NJD, round 1, #18 overallCompare with…
83
GP
24
G
22
A
46
Pts
8
PPP
157
SOG
36
Hits
51
Blk
Points
Floor 25Expected 46Ceiling 62
Goals
Floor 13Expected 24Ceiling 31
Assists
Floor 12Expected 22Ceiling 30
What moves the range:
  • Shooting %: expected 15.2% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.8 (pure luck).
  • Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
  • Games played: floor assumes 66 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 83 expected.
  • Linemates: assist swing of ±6.3 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
BasicEverything
ScoringIce timePhysicalFaceoffsFinishing
SeasonGPGAPSOGSH%PPPTOIPP TOIES%PP%HITBLKPIMFOWFOLFO%xGG−xG+/-
2026-27200060.0015:360:48278110———0.6-0.6-2
2025-268220224215812.7718:301:42293833473311417938.924.3-4.3-2
2024-258219173614113.5817:541:36——4160169614140.521.0-2.04
2023-248220133313414.9517:121:24——30432911914644.920.0+0.0-26
2022-238227295616116.81016:361:18——366314709542.422.6+4.422
2021-228217254215411.0——————28—————-25

Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.

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