2026-27 projection
83
GP
0.29
G
0.42
A
0.71
Pts
0.16
PPP
2.05
SOG
1.15
Hits
0.45
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 31Expected 59Ceiling 79
Goals
Floor 13Expected 24Ceiling 32
Assists
Floor 18Expected 35Ceiling 47
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 14.2% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.8 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 66 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 83 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±9.7 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 19:12 | 3:24 | 66 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025-26 | 82 | 24 | 33 | 57 | 164 | 14.6 | 15 | 17:36 | 2:30 | 53 | 84 | 42 | 20 | -7 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 17 | 28 | 45 | 153 | 11.1 | 4 | 17:00 | 1:36 | — | 119 | 27 | 38 | -13 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 28 | 29 | 57 | 217 | 12.9 | 6 | 17:18 | 1:18 | — | 73 | 21 | 40 | 2 |
| 2022-23 | 81 | 16 | 23 | 39 | 135 | 11.9 | 4 | 15:12 | 1:24 | — | 141 | 28 | 33 | 10 |
| 2021-22 | 79 | 19 | 12 | 31 | 110 | 17.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 37 | 2 | |
| 2020-21 | 56 | 12 | 9 | 21 | 67 | 17.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | -7 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
