Nikita Nesterenko

C · 25.1 years old · NCAA 22-23

Drafted 2019 · round 6, 172 overall, MIN

He does not play in the NHL yet, so this page carries what he has actually done rather than what we project. No forecast, no category value and no draft ranking: we model NHL seasons, and putting a number on a NCAA season we do not model would look like analysis and be a guess.

This season · 26-27

NHL

League

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P/GP

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NHL-equiv. P/GP

Age

Trajectory · NHL-equivalent points per game

Each season's points per game times its league's translation factor (for example SHL 0.59, Liiga 0.54, AHL 0.44, Allsvenskan 0.38, CHL 0.28, J20 0.18): what a league's scoring has historically been worth in the NHL. A scoring translation, not a rating. A short current season is drawn lighter.

Players with a similar profile

Drafted players from 2005 to 2019 (3,192 of them, including the ones who never made it) whose season at his age looked most like his 25-26: NHL, 29 GP, 0.31 NHL-equivalent at 24, after 0.30 the year before. Also matched on draft slot, height, playing against adults and centre or wing. Then their NHL careers.

Player	Drafted	Ht	At his age	GP	P	NHLe	NHL GP	NHL P	P/GP	Best NHL season
Tomas Mazura C	#162, 2019	6'2"	24-25 NCAA + Czechia	37	26	0.32	0	0	–	never played in the NHL
Travis Boyd C	#177, 2011	5'11"	17-18 NHL + AHL	69	48	0.31	299	118	0.39	35 P in 74 GP, 21-22
Sebastian Repo RW	#184, 2017	6'2"	20-21 Liiga	58	33	0.31	0	0	–	never played in the NHL
Michael Mersch LW	#110, 2011	6'2"	16-17 AHL	48	33	0.30	17	3	0.18	3 P in 17 GP, 15-16
Morgan Barron C	#174, 2017	6'2"	22-23 NHL	70	21	0.30	321	83	0.26	23 P in 65 GP, 25-26

2 of 5 played 200 or more NHL games; 2 never played in the NHL. How players like this turned out, not a forecast for him.

Season by season

Season	League	GP	G	A	P	P/GP	PIM
22-23	NCAA	36	13	21	34	0.94	18
21-22	NCAA	37	7	17	24	0.65	50
20-21	NCAA	24	8	11	19	0.79	18

No games recorded since we started tracking him. The log is built by comparing his season totals from one morning to the next, so it begins the first time they move.