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Colten Ellis

G · 26 years old · AHL 24-25

Drafted 2019 · round 3, 93 overall, STL

He does not play in the NHL yet, so this page carries what he has actually done rather than what we project. No forecast, no category value and no draft ranking: we model NHL seasons, and putting a number on a AHL season we do not model would look like analysis and be a guess.
AHL
League
42
GP
0
G
0
A
0
P
0.00
P/GP
0.00
NHL-equiv. P/GP
23.9
Age
0.000.060.120.0021-22AHLage 20.90.0023-24AHLage 22.90.0024-25AHLage 23.9

Each season's points per game times its league's translation factor (for example SHL 0.59, Liiga 0.54, AHL 0.44, Allsvenskan 0.38, CHL 0.28, J20 0.18): what a league's scoring has historically been worth in the NHL. A scoring translation, not a rating. A short current season is drawn lighter.

Drafted players from 2005 to 2019 (3,192 of them, including the ones who never made it) whose season at his age looked most like his 24-25: AHL, 42 GP, 0.00 NHL-equivalent at 23.9, after 0.00 the year before. Also matched on draft slot, height, playing against adults and centre or wing. Then their NHL careers.

PlayerDraftedHtAt his ageGPPNHLeNHL GPNHL PP/GPBest NHL season
Braden Holtby G#93, 20086'1"13-14 NHL4800.0051300.000 P in 7 GP, 11-12
Jeremy Swayman G#111, 20176'1"22-23 NHL3700.0024600.000 P in 1 GP, 26-27
Tomas Popperle G#131, 20056'1"08-09 Czechia4100.00200.000 P in 2 GP, 06-07
Petr Kvaca G#114, 20176'1"21-22 Czechia4400.0000–never played in the NHL
Stuart Skinner G#78, 20176'3"22-23 NHL5000.0022400.000 P in 1 GP, 20-21

3 of 5 played 200 or more NHL games; 1 never played in the NHL. How players like this turned out, not a forecast for him.

SeasonLeagueGPGAPP/GPPIM
24-25AHL4200000
23-24AHL1600000
21-22AHL600000

No games recorded since we started tracking him. The log is built by comparing his season totals from one morning to the next, so it begins the first time they move.

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