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Samuel Ersson

G · 27 years old · AHL 22-23

Drafted 2018 · round 5, 143 overall, PHI

He does not play in the NHL yet, so this page carries what he has actually done rather than what we project. No forecast, no category value and no draft ranking: we model NHL seasons, and putting a number on a AHL season we do not model would look like analysis and be a guess.
AHL
League
42
GP
0
G
0
A
0
P
0.00
P/GP
0.00
NHL-equiv. P/GP
22.9
Age
0.000.060.120.0021-22AHLage 21.90.0022-23AHLage 22.9

Each season's points per game times its league's translation factor (for example SHL 0.59, Liiga 0.54, AHL 0.44, Allsvenskan 0.38, CHL 0.28, J20 0.18): what a league's scoring has historically been worth in the NHL. A scoring translation, not a rating. A short current season is drawn lighter.

Drafted players from 2005 to 2019 (3,192 of them, including the ones who never made it) whose season at his age looked most like his 22-23: AHL, 42 GP, 0.00 NHL-equivalent at 22.9. Also matched on draft slot, height, playing against adults and centre or wing. Then their NHL careers.

PlayerDraftedHtAt his ageGPPNHLeNHL GPNHL PP/GPBest NHL season
Cal Petersen G#129, 20136'2"17-18 AHL4100.0010600.000 P in 5 GP, 23-24
Arvid Holm G#167, 20176'4"21-22 AHL2400.0000–never played in the NHL
Colten Ellis G#93, 20196'1"23-24 AHL1600.001600.000 P in 16 GP, 25-26
Filip Larsson G#167, 20166'1"21-22 Allsvenskan1800.0000–never played in the NHL
Tomas Popperle G#131, 20056'1"07-08 AHL1700.00200.000 P in 2 GP, 06-07

0 of 5 played 200 or more NHL games; 2 never played in the NHL. How players like this turned out, not a forecast for him.

SeasonLeagueGPGAPP/GPPIM
22-23AHL4200002
21-22AHL500000

No games recorded since we started tracking him. The log is built by comparing his season totals from one morning to the next, so it begins the first time they move.

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