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Noah Dobson

Noah Dobson

DMTL · age 26 · 2023-24 with NYI · drafted 2018 by NYI, round 1, #12 overallCompare with…
80
GP
11
G
38
A
48
Pts
11
PPP
170
SOG
65
Hits
171
Blk
Points
Floor 24Expected 48Ceiling 69
Goals
Floor 5Expected 11Ceiling 16
Assists
Floor 19Expected 38Ceiling 53
What moves the range:
  • Shooting %: expected 6.3% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±4.1 (pure luck).
  • Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
  • Games played: floor assumes 64 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 80 expected.
  • Linemates: assist swing of ±10.6 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
BasicEverything
ScoringIce timePhysicalFaceoffsFinishing
SeasonGPGAPSOGSH%PPPTOIPP TOIES%PP%HITBLKPIMFOWFOLFO%xGG−xG+/-
2026-27100010.0022:301:183738020———0.6-0.60
2025-26801235471587.6722:301:4837346218834———9.6+2.55
2024-25711029391965.11223:183:00——5712628———10.9-0.9-16
2023-24791060701745.72424:303:00——8418036———7.3+2.712
2022-23781336492066.31920:243:18——6010420———8.7+4.34
2021-22801338511906.8——————18—————-3
2020-214631114694.3——————8—————1
2019-2034167372.7——————8—————-1

Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.

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