2026-27 projection
80
GP
11
G
38
A
48
Pts
11
PPP
170
SOG
65
Hits
171
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 24Expected 48Ceiling 69
Goals
Floor 5Expected 11Ceiling 16
Assists
Floor 19Expected 38Ceiling 53
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 6.3% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±4.1 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 64 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 80 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±10.6 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | Faceoffs | Finishing | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | ES% | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | FOW | FOL | FO% | xG | G−xG | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 22:30 | 1:18 | 37 | 38 | 1 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | 0.6 | -0.6 | -1 |
| 2025-26 | 80 | 12 | 35 | 47 | 158 | 7.6 | 7 | 22:30 | 1:48 | 37 | 34 | 62 | 188 | 34 | — | — | — | 9.6 | +2.5 | 5 |
| 2024-25 | 71 | 10 | 29 | 39 | 196 | 5.1 | 12 | 23:18 | 3:00 | — | — | 57 | 126 | 28 | — | — | — | 10.9 | -0.9 | -16 |
| 2023-24 | 79 | 10 | 60 | 70 | 174 | 5.7 | 24 | 24:30 | 3:00 | — | — | 84 | 180 | 36 | — | — | — | 7.3 | +2.7 | 12 |
| 2022-23 | 78 | 13 | 36 | 49 | 206 | 6.3 | 19 | 20:24 | 3:18 | — | — | 60 | 104 | 20 | — | — | — | 8.7 | +4.3 | 4 |
| 2021-22 | 80 | 13 | 38 | 51 | 190 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | -3 | |
| 2020-21 | 46 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 69 | 4.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | |
| 2019-20 | 34 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 37 | 2.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | -1 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
