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Mattias Samuelsson

Mattias Samuelsson

DBUF · age 26 · 2025-26 · drafted 2018 by BUF, round 2, #32 overallCompare with…
72
GP
7
G
21
A
27
Pts
0
PPP
89
SOG
125
Hits
132
Blk
Points
Floor 13Expected 27Ceiling 42
Goals
Floor 2Expected 7Ceiling 11
Assists
Floor 11Expected 20Ceiling 30
What moves the range:
  • Shooting %: expected 7.4% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±3.2 (pure luck).
  • Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
  • Games played: floor assumes 58 (injury), ceiling 78 (full health) vs 72 expected.
  • Linemates: assist swing of ±5.8 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
BasicEverything
ScoringIce timePhysicalFaceoffsFinishing
SeasonGPGAPSOGSH%PPPTOIPP TOIES%PP%HITBLKPIMFOWFOLFO%xGG−xG+/-
2026-272112250.0021:180:12404224———0.1+0.9-2
2025-267813284110911.9023:120:1239413215428———7.2+5.841
2024-256241014527.7119:180:00——1059322———2.0+2.03
2023-2441167442.3020:300:00——1068726———1.5-0.54
2022-23552810762.6022:120:06——1079120———4.3-2.314
2021-224201010440.0——————16—————-10
2020-2112022100.0——————4—————-8

Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.

LeagueSeasonGPGAPPIM
AHL2021-22222131516
NCAA2019-20302121441
NCAA2018-1935571237
USHL2017-18234101464
USHL2016-1730551026
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