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Mark Kastelic

Mark Kastelic

CBOS · age 27 · 2026-27 · drafted 2019 by OTT, round 5, #125 overallCompare with…
77
GP
9
G
8
A
17
Pts
1
PPP
88
SOG
211
Hits
55
Blk
Points
Floor 8Expected 17Ceiling 26
Goals
Floor 4Expected 9Ceiling 14
Assists
Floor 4Expected 8Ceiling 12
What moves the range:
  • Shooting %: expected 9.9% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±3.6 (pure luck).
  • Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
  • Games played: floor assumes 62 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 77 expected.
  • Linemates: assist swing of ±2.3 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
BasicEverything
ScoringIce timePhysicalFaceoffsFinishing
SeasonGPGAPSOGSH%PPPTOIPP TOIES%PP%HITBLKPIMFOWFOLFO%xGG−xG+/-
2026-273123333.3011:060:181956554833.30.9+0.11
2025-268212102210012.0112:360:182152156414034322160.812.8-0.86
2024-25615914677.5010:420:06——2183910619916754.45.9-0.9-3
2023-24635510608.307:420:06——126316319015954.44.9+0.1-5
2022-23657411739.608:540:18——1543710233625457.08.1-1.1-6
2021-22162241118.2——————14—————-1

Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.

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