Noah Cates
CProbable for start of season2026-27 projection
77
GP
0.21
G
0.32
A
0.53
Pts
0.09
PPP
1.48
SOG
1.18
Hits
0.63
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 21Expected 41Ceiling 60
Goals
Floor 8Expected 16Ceiling 23
Assists
Floor 13Expected 25Ceiling 36
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 13.4% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±4.6 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 62 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 77 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±7 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
NHL seasons
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | PPP | PIM | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 82 | 18 | 29 | 47 | 132 | 9 | 44 | 26 |
| 2024-25 | 78 | 16 | 21 | 37 | 110 | 3 | 14 | 3 |
| 2023-24 | 59 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 78 | 0 | 0 | -8 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 13 | 25 | 38 | 107 | 8 | 12 | 3 |
| 2021-22 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 4 | 4 |