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Noah Cates

Noah Cates

CPHI · age 27 · 2024-25 · drafted 2017 by PHI, round 5, #137 overallCompare with…
80
GP
0.22
G
0.33
A
0.54
Pts
0.09
PPP
1.48
SOG
1.19
Hits
0.63
Blk
Points
Floor 22Expected 44Ceiling 61
Goals
Floor 9Expected 18Ceiling 25
Assists
Floor 13Expected 26Ceiling 37
What moves the range:
  • Shooting %: expected 14.8% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±4.9 (pure luck).
  • Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
  • Games played: floor assumes 64 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 80 expected.
  • Linemates: assist swing of ±7.3 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
BasicEverything
ScoringIce timePhysical
SeasonGPGAPSOGSH%PPPTOIPP TOIPP%HITBLKPIM+/-
2026-27300030.0012:540:3610010-2
2025-268218294713213.6916:182:0641102514426
2024-257816213711014.5315:541:00—8754143
2023-245961218787.7013:480:42—52350-8
2022-238213253810712.1817:481:48—8665123
2021-22165492321.7—————44

Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.

LeagueSeasonGPGAPPIM
NCAA2021-223711132419
NCAA2020-21285141925
NCAA2019-203414193335
NCAA2018-19409142333
USHL2017-186021345526
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