2026-27 projection
83
GP
40
G
55
A
96
Pts
38
PPP
276
SOG
55
Hits
37
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 52Expected 96Ceiling 126
Goals
Floor 24Expected 40Ceiling 51
Assists
Floor 29Expected 55Ceiling 75
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 14.7% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±7.5 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 66 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 83 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±15.6 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | Faceoffs | Finishing | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | ES% | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | FOW | FOL | FO% | xG | G−xG | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 19:12 | 4:18 | 32 | 75 | 1 | 0 | 2 | — | — | — | 0.3 | -0.3 | -3 |
| 2025-26 | 82 | 45 | 51 | 96 | 294 | 15.3 | 41 | 20:18 | 3:54 | 32 | 75 | 48 | 34 | 32 | 1 | 2 | 33.3 | 38.2 | +6.8 | 22 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 35 | 45 | 80 | 211 | 16.6 | 19 | 17:48 | 3:06 | — | — | 60 | 45 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 36.8 | 26.4 | +8.7 | 10 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 29 | 51 | 80 | 231 | 12.6 | 28 | 18:18 | 2:48 | — | — | 77 | 31 | 22 | — | — | — | 24.5 | +4.5 | 19 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 46 | 63 | 109 | 313 | 14.7 | 41 | 18:48 | 3:18 | — | — | 57 | 19 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 29.7 | +16.3 | 37 |
| 2021-22 | 74 | 41 | 38 | 79 | 220 | 18.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | |
| 2020-21 | 51 | 17 | 28 | 45 | 127 | 13.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | 13 | |
| 2019-20 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
