2026-27 projection
76
GP
24
G
56
A
79
Pts
20
PPP
134
SOG
14
Hits
47
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 42Expected 79Ceiling 116
Goals
Floor 13Expected 24Ceiling 34
Assists
Floor 29Expected 56Ceiling 82
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 17.6% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.7 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 61 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 76 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±15.6 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | Faceoffs | Finishing | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | ES% | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | FOW | FOL | FO% | xG | G−xG | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 | 19:42 | 3:30 | 29 | 57 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 24 | 41.5 | 0.2 | -0.2 | -1 |
| 2025-26 | 64 | 25 | 39 | 64 | 102 | 24.5 | 14 | 19:00 | 2:36 | 30 | 55 | 10 | 40 | 24 | 547 | 495 | 52.5 | 16.0 | +9.0 | 22 |
| 2024-25 | 70 | 21 | 60 | 81 | 145 | 14.5 | 19 | 20:00 | 2:24 | — | — | 13 | 48 | 20 | 733 | 605 | 54.8 | 19.6 | +1.4 | 20 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 26 | 60 | 86 | 170 | 15.3 | 27 | 21:00 | 3:12 | — | — | 16 | 47 | 48 | 876 | 773 | 53.1 | 21.5 | +4.5 | 9 |
| 2022-23 | 73 | 18 | 47 | 65 | 106 | 17.0 | 22 | 19:18 | 3:00 | — | — | 15 | 29 | 22 | 646 | 575 | 52.9 | 12.3 | +5.7 | -8 |
| 2021-22 | 72 | 20 | 57 | 77 | 115 | 17.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | 17 | |
| 2020-21 | 33 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 22 | 13.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | |
| 2019-20 | 66 | 10 | 32 | 42 | 87 | 11.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | |
| 2018-19 | 70 | 9 | 24 | 33 | 80 | 11.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | -2 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
