2026-27 projection
83
GP
0.37
G
0.88
A
1.25
Pts
0.49
PPP
2.22
SOG
0.76
Hits
0.75
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 55Expected 104Ceiling 138
Goals
Floor 18Expected 31Ceiling 39
Assists
Floor 38Expected 73Ceiling 98
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 16.7% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±6.5 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 66 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 83 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±20.5 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16.7 | 0 | 20:42 | 1:48 | 54 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 2025-26 | 82 | 29 | 72 | 101 | 183 | 15.8 | 43 | 20:48 | 3:36 | 68 | 62 | 62 | 28 | 37 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 30 | 59 | 89 | 172 | 17.4 | 27 | 20:06 | 3:24 | — | 63 | 71 | 8 | 19 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 33 | 44 | 77 | 185 | 17.8 | 31 | 21:18 | 3:36 | — | 69 | 48 | 36 | -14 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 26 | 40 | 66 | 162 | 16.0 | 17 | 21:06 | 3:24 | — | 50 | 56 | 33 | -13 |
| 2021-22 | 82 | 21 | 40 | 61 | 186 | 11.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 30 | -29 | |
| 2020-21 | 56 | 15 | 26 | 41 | 110 | 13.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 26 | -5 | |
| 2019-20 | 71 | 13 | 28 | 41 | 138 | 9.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | -15 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
