Eeli Tolvanen

RNYR · age 27 · 2026-27 · drafted 2017 by NSH, round 1, #30 overallCompare with…

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2026-27 projection

0.20

0.27

0.47

Pts

0.14

PPP

1.73

SOG

2.51

Hits

0.94

Blk

2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling

Points

Floor 19Expected 37Ceiling 53

Goals

Floor 8Expected 16Ceiling 23

Assists

Floor 11Expected 21Ceiling 30

What moves the range:

Shooting %: expected 11.7% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±4.8 (pure luck).
Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
Games played: floor assumes 63 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 79 expected.
Linemates: assist swing of ±5.9 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.

NHL seasons

Basic Everything

		Scoring						Ice time			Physical
Season	GP	G	A	P	SOG	SH%	PPP	TOI	PP TOI	PP%	HIT	BLK	PIM	+/-
2026-27	3	2	0	2	4	50.0	0	13:12	1:24	30	7	2	0	2
2025-26	78	12	24	36	141	8.5	14	16:00	1:54	40	187	81	30	-18
2024-25	81	23	12	35	137	16.8	5	14:18	0:48	—	237	65	23	3
2023-24	81	16	25	41	153	10.5	10	15:36	2:24	—	210	75	24	-15
2022-23	61	18	13	31	116	15.5	7	14:30	2:18	—	91	51	14	8
2021-22	75	11	12	23	151	7.3		—	—	—	—	—	16	-7
2020-21	40	11	11	22	65	16.9		—	—	—	—	—	4	-10
2018-19	4	1	1	2	2	50.0		—	—	—	—	—	0	2
2017-18	3	0	0	0	3	0.0		—	—	—	—	—	0	0

Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.

Other leagues

League	Season	GP	G	A	P	PIM
KHL	2020-21	25	5	8	13	10
KHL	2017-18	49	19	17	36	28
USHL	2016-17	52	30	24	54	26
USHL	2015-16	49	17	21	38	12