Casey Mittelstadt

CBOS · age 27 · 2026-27 · drafted 2017 by BUF, round 1, #8 overallCompare with…

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2026-27 projection

0.18

0.38

0.56

Pts

0.12

PPP

1.19

SOG

0.34

Hits

0.34

Blk

2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling

Points

Floor 22Expected 43Ceiling 63

Goals

Floor 7Expected 14Ceiling 21

Assists

Floor 15Expected 29Ceiling 42

What moves the range:

Shooting %: expected 15.3% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±4.4 (pure luck).
Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
Games played: floor assumes 62 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 77 expected.
Linemates: assist swing of ±8.2 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.

NHL seasons

Basic Everything

		Scoring						Ice time			Physical
Season	GP	G	A	P	SOG	SH%	PPP	TOI	PP TOI	PP%	HIT	BLK	PIM	+/-
2026-27	2	0	0	0	5	0.0	0	15:18	1:12	25	1	0	0	1
2025-26	71	15	27	42	80	18.8	7	15:12	1:54	38	23	21	12	12
2024-25	81	15	25	40	105	14.3	13	17:06	2:18	—	30	33	24	-29
2023-24	80	18	39	57	127	14.2	9	17:42	2:24	—	25	31	32	10
2022-23	82	15	44	59	135	11.1	16	15:42	2:06	—	30	16	22	-8
2021-22	40	6	13	19	79	7.6		—	—	—	—	—	4	-14
2020-21	41	10	12	22	61	16.4		—	—	—	—	—	10	-10
2019-20	31	4	5	9	34	11.8		—	—	—	—	—	2	-5
2018-19	77	12	13	25	118	10.2		—	—	—	—	—	10	-19
2017-18	6	1	4	5	9	11.1		—	—	—	—	—	2	1

Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.

Other leagues

League	Season	GP	G	A	P	PIM
NCAA	2017-18	34	11	19	30	10
USHL	2016-17	24	13	17	30	2