2026-27 projection
78
GP
10
G
47
A
57
Pts
25
PPP
144
SOG
50
Hits
130
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 28Expected 56Ceiling 83
Goals
Floor 4Expected 10Ceiling 15
Assists
Floor 24Expected 47Ceiling 68
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 6.6% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±3.8 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 62 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 78 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±13.2 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14.3 | 2 | 22:30 | 2:42 | 72 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| 2025-26 | 78 | 10 | 49 | 59 | 159 | 6.3 | 26 | 24:18 | 3:12 | 62 | 38 | 125 | 44 | 2 |
| 2024-25 | 77 | 15 | 38 | 53 | 132 | 11.4 | 23 | 25:06 | 3:18 | — | 61 | 140 | 32 | -8 |
| 2023-24 | 34 | 2 | 17 | 19 | 53 | 3.8 | 7 | 22:36 | 1:42 | — | 36 | 69 | 16 | -16 |
| 2022-23 | 79 | 10 | 54 | 64 | 156 | 6.4 | 27 | 23:48 | 2:30 | — | 128 | 149 | 53 | 13 |
| 2021-22 | 78 | 7 | 31 | 38 | 149 | 4.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 59 | 6 | |
| 2020-21 | 56 | 4 | 26 | 30 | 108 | 3.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 30 | 5 | |
| 2019-20 | 70 | 10 | 24 | 34 | 118 | 8.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 58 | 15 | |
| 2018-19 | 75 | 6 | 26 | 32 | 128 | 4.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 28 | 12 | |
| 2017-18 | 79 | 9 | 31 | 40 | 141 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 38 | 11 | |
| 2016-17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0 | 1 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
