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Mikhail Sergachev

Mikhail Sergachev

DUTA · age 28 · 2024-25 · drafted 2016 by MTL, round 1, #9 overallCompare with…
78
GP
10
G
47
A
57
Pts
25
PPP
144
SOG
50
Hits
130
Blk
Points
Floor 28Expected 56Ceiling 83
Goals
Floor 4Expected 10Ceiling 15
Assists
Floor 24Expected 47Ceiling 68
What moves the range:
  • Shooting %: expected 6.6% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±3.8 (pure luck).
  • Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
  • Games played: floor assumes 62 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 78 expected.
  • Linemates: assist swing of ±13.2 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
BasicEverything
ScoringIce timePhysical
SeasonGPGAPSOGSH%PPPTOIPP TOIPP%HITBLKPIM+/-
2026-272123714.3222:302:42723320
2025-26781049591596.32624:183:126238125442
2024-257715385313211.42325:063:18—6114032-8
2023-243421719533.8722:361:42—366916-16
2022-23791054641566.42723:482:30—1281495313
2021-2278731381494.7—————596
2020-2156426301083.7—————305
2019-20701024341188.5—————5815
2018-1975626321284.7—————2812
2017-1879931401416.4—————3811
2016-17400020.0—————01

Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.

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