2026-27 projection
74
GP
4
G
18
A
22
Pts
1
PPP
66
SOG
43
Hits
89
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 10Expected 22Ceiling 34
Goals
Floor 1Expected 4Ceiling 7
Assists
Floor 9Expected 18Ceiling 27
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 5.3% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±2.3 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 59 (injury), ceiling 80 (full health) vs 74 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±5.1 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | Faceoffs | Finishing | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | ES% | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | FOW | FOL | FO% | xG | G−xG | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 20.0 | 0 | 21:06 | 0:54 | 38 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.7 | +0.3 | 0 |
| 2025-26 | 60 | 3 | 16 | 19 | 41 | 7.3 | 0 | 18:06 | 0:18 | 34 | 5 | 21 | 58 | 23 | — | — | — | 2.8 | +0.3 | 17 |
| 2024-25 | 73 | 3 | 21 | 24 | 95 | 3.2 | 1 | 20:54 | 0:42 | — | — | 62 | 111 | 14 | — | — | — | 5.1 | -2.1 | 7 |
| 2023-24 | 59 | 3 | 15 | 18 | 73 | 4.1 | 1 | 19:24 | 0:48 | — | — | 76 | 99 | 10 | — | — | — | 4.9 | -1.9 | 0 |
| 2022-23 | 76 | 6 | 31 | 37 | 119 | 5.0 | 8 | 21:30 | 1:12 | — | — | 67 | 116 | 16 | — | — | — | 6.4 | -0.4 | -10 |
| 2021-22 | 67 | 5 | 23 | 28 | 79 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | -4 | |
| 2020-21 | 48 | 5 | 27 | 32 | 79 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | 15 | |
| 2019-20 | 70 | 4 | 30 | 34 | 96 | 4.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | |
| 2018-19 | 82 | 4 | 23 | 27 | 116 | 3.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | |
| 2017-18 | 73 | 4 | 19 | 23 | 84 | 4.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | -11 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
