2026-27 projection
79
GP
19
G
32
A
51
Pts
18
PPP
199
SOG
61
Hits
111
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 26Expected 51Ceiling 73
Goals
Floor 10Expected 19Ceiling 27
Assists
Floor 17Expected 32Ceiling 46
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 9.6% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.3 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 63 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 79 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±9 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | Faceoffs | Finishing | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | ES% | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | FOW | FOL | FO% | xG | G−xG | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 20.0 | 1 | 23:00 | 2:00 | 42 | 56 | 0 | 2 | 4 | — | — | — | 0.3 | +0.7 | 0 |
| 2025-26 | 80 | 26 | 34 | 60 | 221 | 11.8 | 18 | 23:24 | 3:06 | 40 | 59 | 58 | 114 | 62 | — | — | — | 18.5 | +7.5 | 20 |
| 2024-25 | 74 | 20 | 27 | 47 | 179 | 11.2 | 15 | 21:06 | 2:12 | — | — | 59 | 87 | 52 | — | — | — | 13.1 | +6.9 | 17 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 14 | 27 | 41 | 204 | 6.9 | 16 | 22:24 | 2:42 | — | — | 72 | 154 | 60 | — | — | — | 14.0 | -0.0 | -30 |
| 2022-23 | 48 | 9 | 24 | 33 | 144 | 6.3 | 8 | 22:42 | 2:48 | — | — | 55 | 83 | 30 | — | — | — | 9.5 | -0.5 | 7 |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
